Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf254c7297e5d11f82fa5baf00e75a0e566f211df2b32eacf3089307d0a401647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 59c | 8,070$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.91 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 6,280$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.47 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 19c | 3,474$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 65c | 3,448$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 2,768$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.3 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 11c | 1,835$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 1,322$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 59c | 1,127$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 4c | 1,011$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 766.95$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 44c | 686.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 5c | 493$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 36c | 452.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 64c | 417.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 390.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 74c | 359.55$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 347.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 43c | 333$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 55c | 322.9$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 257.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 11c | 246$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 7c | 196.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 52c | 178$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 157.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 64c | 151$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 148$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 138.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 58c | 111.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 97.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 59c | 85.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 65c | 82.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…2882backed Yes | 36c | 80.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 59c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 30c | 78.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 59c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 70.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 64c | 65.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 54.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Yes | 38c | 51.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 38c | 51.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 63c | 39.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed No | 64c | 31.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebca…e423backed Yes | 72c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 22.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 64c | 16.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.