CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Prestige (BO1) - PGL Bucharest: European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b35c616272d2a8b14c2c9378e3bb5c6a7a3146ad1e8df049b2dd4211429192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Prestige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Prestige | 22c | 820.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Prestige | 43c | 695.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Prestige | 40c | 305.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 283$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…d74fbacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 266.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Prestige | 64c | 258$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…0fb8backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 200.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 173$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed MOUZ NXT | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed MOUZ NXT | 67c | 144.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 118.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…e79fbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 107.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ NXT | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…9d4cbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Prestige | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Prestige | 46c | 48.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Prestige | 52c | 37.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Prestige | 33c | 37.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 34.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Prestige | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.