Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Bellarmine Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefcc7e6c4fcc854751e82fc577b2989cb2be2e9994482b075a5c8abb25ab665c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lipscomb Bisonsof Lipscomb Bisons, Bellarmine Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 6c | 2,700$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Bellarmine Knights | 3c | 2,100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 4c | 2,100$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Bellarmine Knights | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Bellarmine Knights | 4c | 1,404$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Bellarmine Knights | 4c | 1,350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Bellarmine Knights | 3c | 1,300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bellarmine Knights | 1c | 1,082$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Bellarmine Knights | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Bellarmine Knights | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Bellarmine Knights | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…a748backed Bellarmine Knights | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Bellarmine Knights | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Bellarmine Knights | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 444.35$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 42c | 409.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Bellarmine Knights | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +59%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Bellarmine Knights | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Bellarmine Knights | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bellarmine Knights | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lipscomb Bisons | 58c | 138.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Bellarmine Knights | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…c3f1backed Lipscomb Bisons | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lipscomb Bisons | 60c | 24.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Lipscomb Bisons | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Lipscomb Bisons | 79c | 18.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.