CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Lilmix (BO1) - PGL Bucharest: European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd87a936aa5620a36b5e0239b0b1b7205c39d94170d8c080ecf7ee18df42ed8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Lilmix | 56c | 563.44$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nemiga | 44c | 398.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 23c | 286.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Lilmix | 78c | 179.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nemiga | 47c | 169.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lilmix | 33c | 165$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Nemiga | 75c | 156$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Nemiga | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Nemiga | 54c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Nemiga | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Nemiga | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nemiga | 79c | 95.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Lilmix | 67c | 95.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Nemiga | 53c | 93.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3c69backed Nemiga | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Nemiga | 31c | 49.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nemiga | 27c | 46.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Lilmix | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Lilmix | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Nemiga | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lilmix | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Nemiga | 51c | 24.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lilmix | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.