Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6320aca36f0e8a7949eb189bf8ba67bec5dfa27730203bc6dab5ec22f8a32d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,788 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 1,490$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.33 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 1,242$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,153$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.78 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 1,130$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 816.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…a18ebacked No | 77c | 652.24$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 601.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed No | 73c | 375.34$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 371.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 24c | 270.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 183.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 18c | 123.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 119.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 105.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 19c | 101.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 78.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 28c | 66.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 41.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.