Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97e749b887d017874c957c32cc9e4af01a189be56065add0d3763571c7bcbd81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,792 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 46c | 28,016$12,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,128.7 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 54c | 26,597$14,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,362.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 5,330$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.26 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.97 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 54c | 2,436$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.44 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 64c | 2,435$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.66 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 1,808$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.25 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 1,436$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.27 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 47c | 1,419$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 1,417$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.19 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 996$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.17 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 63c | 839.7$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…a18ebacked Yes | 66c | 756.68$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 727.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 717.45$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 70c | 636$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 30c | 449$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 446.48$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 431.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 873 | 54.6%477 W · 396 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 78c | 364.77$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 63c | 363.89$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 62c | 323.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 304.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 68c | 282.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 64c | 273$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 54c | 216.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 62c | 189.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes | 64c | 179.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 37c | 172.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 80c | 157.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes | 66c | 151.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 33c | 91.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 926 | 46.7%432 W · 494 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 90.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 805 | 58%467 W · 338 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 88.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 533 | 46.7%249 W · 284 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 84.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 49c | 81.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 74.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 552 | 49.3%272 W · 280 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 52c | 72.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 47c | 67.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 62c | 61.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 60.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 53c | 60.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 308 | 35.1%108 W · 200 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 731 | 50.8%371 W · 360 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 64c | 39.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 54c | 35.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 78c | 34.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 47c | 34.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…cd1dbacked No | 55c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 73c | 29.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 47c | 27.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 60c | 27.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked No | 54c | 26.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Yes | 47c | 26.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 80c | 21.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 54c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 64c | 17.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 68c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 67c | 15.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.