South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87354032c58179d76e873784b0ce28f61c706afbc4a5d3b0770c49e05ade5335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 6,911$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.35 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 5,740$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.81 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 4,238$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 3,320$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 24c | 2,438$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 25c | 1,641$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.55 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 1,543$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,476$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.47 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked No | 75c | 1,346$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 40c | 899.52$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.36 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 811.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 721.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.3 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 79c | 568.37$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 24c | 483.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.25 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 469.23$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.31 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked No | 76c | 410.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 315.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 64c | 254.28$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 75c | 239.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 62c | 183$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 19c | 182.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 25c | 173.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 29c | 163.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 74c | 159.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 33c | 125$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 123.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 20c | 112$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 106$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 23c | 105.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 104.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 99.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…08d3backed Yes | 23c | 99.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 96.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…a283backed Yes | 18c | 90.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Yes | 35c | 89.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…36dcbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 76c | 66.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 24c | 60.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Yes | 25c | 59.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 58c | 56.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 24c | 53.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 38c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 45c | 41.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed No | 80c | 39.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed Yes | 76c | 38.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Yes | 68c | 35.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…3911backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 57c | 32.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…b2e1backed No | 52c | 31.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…9417backed Yes | 56c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…0b92backed No | 76c | 25.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 77c | 21.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…569cbacked Yes | 61c | 18.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yes | 56c | 18.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 79c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 14.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…299cbacked No | 76c | 13.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.