South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3ed85cb0c4fb8aabc2f0bf65ebcdeb75d12cd8a02c101dac008e2bac8f0988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,099 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 6,994$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.56 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 6,718$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.18 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,535$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 5,023$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.69 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 4,577$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed No | 73c | 3,756$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 26c | 2,454$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 1,732$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.53 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 1,282$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.14 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 721.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 26c | 687$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 406.03$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 28c | 337.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 239.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 222.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 219.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 202.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 179.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…9aafbacked Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 145.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 129.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 79c | 117.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 113.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 93.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 26c | 91.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 74c | 89.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…58f5backed Yes | 29c | 81.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 28c | 79.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…79febacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…0e78backed Yes | 28c | 74.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 73.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…36dcbacked Yes | 28c | 69.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 57.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked No | 73c | 56.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…87e9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 49.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 25c | 47.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 28c | 45.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Yes | 27c | 44.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked No | 72c | 43.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 41.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Yes | 28c | 41.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed No | 72c | 38.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…f860backed No | 74c | 35.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…9462backed Yes | 30c | 33.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…88c4backed No | 74c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-04?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.