Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3da081be201f21fd180c557ba796d2fceae90fea0f2594df0918b52a6582955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,507 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 26c | 15,890$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.39 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 17c | 9,105$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.39 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 76c | 8,870$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.75 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 73c | 7,688$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.49 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 6,003$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 28c | 1,085$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 18c | 959.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 700.18$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 27c | 562.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 494.21$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.08 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 68c | 444$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…8f38backed Yes | 34c | 345.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 305.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed No | 32c | 281.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 277.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 80c | 225.9$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 26c | 193$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 182$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 180$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…3e1dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 29c | 155.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked No | 70c | 151.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…e953backed No | 67c | 125.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 119.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…f53dbacked No | 67c | 115.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…b2f2backed No | 67c | 104.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 20c | 99.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed No | 20c | 74.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 24c | 63.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 76c | 57.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 43c | 55.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 43c | 55.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 52.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed No | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 40.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 34c | 37.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 34c | 35.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 69c | 32.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 75c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 79c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 76c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 69c | 14.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.