Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f3e3861dd13f80064c12cca7e48a53a1a6a1b3aa1ed4c80a47b9cc39656c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,837 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 41c | 3,400$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.98 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 3,192$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.12 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,402$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,277$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.21 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 2,185$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.73 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 58c | 1,607$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 60c | 1,136$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 1,035$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 1,010$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 994.93$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.22 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 42c | 595$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 41c | 487.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 44c | 454.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 437.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 249.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 248.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…455ebacked Yes | 41c | 195.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 180$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 170.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 19c | 153$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 42c | 148.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 42c | 146$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 95.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 56c | 92.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 44c | 71.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 66.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 20c | 64.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 62.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Yes | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 43c | 44.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 41c | 42.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 43c | 34.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 60c | 33.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 32.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Yes | 44c | 23.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked No | 80c | 20.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.