Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf94e6042e3fd670f7aa8a49567f4616b7a15a1238a103cfc5b4c1f77aabaa58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 2,900$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.97 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,584$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 1,036$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 942.23$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 30c | 849.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 16c | 831$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 798.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 13c | 737.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 21c | 713.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 18c | 692$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 413.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 11c | 407.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 72c | 395.9$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 28c | 363.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 65c | 309.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 13c | 299.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 299.3$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 172.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 69c | 160.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 69c | 145.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 70c | 142.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 69c | 142$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 80c | 125.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 69c | 118.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 97.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 94.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 33c | 87.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 33c | 83.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 32c | 83.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 55c | 77.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 76.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 18c | 72.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 20c | 71.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 69.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 66.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 66.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 63.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 60.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 70c | 57.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 32c | 46.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 31c | 39.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 64c | 35.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 27.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 75c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed No | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 80c | 16.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 76c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.