Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e7bf2f22bc3089540d13ab0c52a9dfa13f09a43c8ea3618f362ade09937492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 2c | 1,049$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 16c | 403.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 36c | 339.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 13c | 332.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 36c | 301$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 33c | 275$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 6c | 250.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 12c | 213.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 70c | 211.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 21c | 205.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 69c | 205.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 62c | 194.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 34c | 192.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 191$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 44c | 182.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 69c | 179.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 63c | 178.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 174.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…0d2cbacked Yes | 36c | 174.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…f31cbacked Yes | 23c | 166.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 39c | 158.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 38c | 155.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 13c | 146.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 34c | 141.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 141$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 63c | 138.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…e5b5backed Yes | 42c | 130.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 22c | 121.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 26c | 116.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 112.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 106.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 59c | 105.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 38c | 102.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 38c | 101.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 42c | 99.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 68c | 91.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 91.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 40c | 88.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 15c | 85.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 62c | 80.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 79.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked No | 68c | 79.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…04bfbacked Yes | 36c | 77.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…248abacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 74c | 68.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 38c | 65.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 40c | 57.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 57.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed Yes | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 38c | 54.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed No | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 53.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 35c | 52.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 24c | 50.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 50.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 72c | 49.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 55c | 46.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked No | 60c | 44.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 40c | 42.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 41.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 64c | 38.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 36.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 38c | 36.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d22…245cbacked Yes | 40c | 35.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 61c | 30.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…9847backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…7858backed Yes | 39c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 61c | 29.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 65c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 59c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 69c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed No | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 58c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…d304backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.