Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89782c3e42f0be934ca370935883ce966c6343e51e8d3419be6bb78d72d50204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,478 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.91 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,923$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 41c | 777.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 439.77$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 206.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 20c | 199.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 164.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 136.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 58c | 135$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 90.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9dd9backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 58c | 76.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 65.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…2e2bbacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 57c | 47.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 44.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 43c | 38.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…fbc9backed Over | 43c | 35.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 30.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…40d9backed Under | 58c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2f4cbacked Under | 58c | 27.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b72…3f1dbacked Under | 58c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 24.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…b0f3backed Over | 43c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.