Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b474bb6adbeb80a2a80d32c268fccef0aaf87d834228f4626305a021a354a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,800 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 19c | 1,032$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.74 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 2c | 990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 2c | 990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 76c | 679.38$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 16c | 500$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.89 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.68 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked No | 19c | 422.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed No | 33c | 221.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 53.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 49.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 47.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…89d7backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 38.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.