Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf8b2f95a90b0ced606bd84c64ef32935e9d3cfabeb7676146920b9e0fb1efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,091 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Under | 1c | 2,780$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 2,780$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,278$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…c484backed Under | 1c | 1,049$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 49c | 820.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 20c | 794.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 13c | 578.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 541.02$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 515.44$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 69c | 436.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 65c | 426.5$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 19c | 416.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 407.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 394.98$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.61 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 248.43$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 32c | 229.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 19c | 140.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Over | 70c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 88.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 67c | 62.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…2e2bbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 34.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Under | 44c | 27.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Under | 65c | 25.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 52c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 53c | 18.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.