Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8bb8a60fccbe5bfc3917d707b8f94030912f6e24bc1190ca24c04e15ed6591f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked No | 45c | 8,877$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 55c | 6,417$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.57 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 1c | 2,930$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,244$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 892$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 56c | 446.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 43c | 421.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 57c | 412.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 242.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 55c | 215.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 55c | 162.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 57c | 133.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 43c | 70.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…0521backed No | 45c | 65.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked Yes | 57c | 58.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 57c | 57.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed No | 44c | 55.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 46c | 53.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 57c | 52.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Yes | 58c | 45.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…e7efbacked Yes | 71c | 42.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…fd08backed Yes | 57c | 41.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 54c | 32.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 55c | 29.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…bf78backed No | 44c | 27.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…6e4ebacked Yes | 57c | 27.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 45c | 26.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 54c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 54c | 21.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5133…8ff8backed Yes | 57c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.