TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under49c94,820$46,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,428.2316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over51c45,461$23,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,275.73661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c14,785$8,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,697.696,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.922532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c6,773$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.082774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c5,600$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7441,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c5,192$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.4345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c4,996$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5084742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe03d…7208backed Over51c4,510$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3bb…8b3ebacked Over51c4,510$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c4,353$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.9410246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c3,540$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.8850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Over51c2,942$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2252055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c2,217$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.872,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,692$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.264,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Under50c1,326$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,300$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.2352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.2414166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c1,032$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50085048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c1,000$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.684445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c717.56$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Over51c596.9$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over51c590.02$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.116852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c583.69$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.852,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under49c554$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4628242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2139…7fe2backed Over50c523.16$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c496.08$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0820054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over51c470.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5917053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…d7eabacked Under49c424$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8c…4449backed Under48c424$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under49c408.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e5a…2afdbacked Under29c391.57$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.56812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6235028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c380.12$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.595444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c301.16$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.571,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Over51c277.25$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under18c239.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7941243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Over51c238.1$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over52c213.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.85455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over51c204.9$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.48048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Over53c155$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.853043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over55c140.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.95959.3%35 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x650e…9147backed Under49c134.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.77439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c123.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3827748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6027948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3814551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over51c105.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.574533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1518265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c90.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5235743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d95…373fbacked Over51c86.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-64.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c72.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.257550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under48c68.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1111449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3127846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Under49c65.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.281643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae29…b946backed Over51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over51c59.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3216357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under48c59.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.522157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6940742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over51c55.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4214252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over51c52.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.723839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7150…476bbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c77…55a4backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.026854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over64c47.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.471,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.619455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Over50c38.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.094658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over51c37.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d9…a144backed Under50c36.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c35.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.341,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6720956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa09…a805backed Under48c30.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea6…00f2backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.