Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fcb946f4d4560f3a64c99a46e49d202d0bd0090ac838dd850e9989d3ed77b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 72c | 3,688$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.64 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 3,259$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 28c | 2,191$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.48 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 78c | 1,764$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,026$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 28c | 892$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 16c | 851.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.95 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 25c | 734.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 29c | 307.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 304.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 49c | 292.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over | 32c | 237.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 219.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 218.49$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Over | 7c | 156$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 124$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 36c | 105.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…5236backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 33c | 89.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 72c | 88.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 42c | 85.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…97a2backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 71c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Under | 66c | 75.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 70c | 74.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…8f5dbacked Over | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 58c | 36.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…63d7backed Under | 70c | 28.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 72c | 25.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.