TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Nottingham Forest FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Nottingham Forest FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,725 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC78c6,088$4,753 inWon+$1,334.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC20c3,037$607 inLost-$607.446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC22c1,000$220 inLost-$2209732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC22c617.69$136 inLost-$135.842,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC26c524.75$137 inLost-$137.1882763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC25c321.96$80 inLost-$80.481,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC25c210.06$53 inLost-$52.614,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC22c180$40 inLost-$39.651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC24c83.33$20 inLost-$202917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC34c73.53$25 inLost-$259235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC22c55.95$12 inLost-$12.1554128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Nottingham Forest FC79c25$20 inWon+$5.2513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nottingham Forest FC77c20$15 inWon+$4.651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nottingham Forest FC71c18.76$13 inWon+$5.441,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Nottingham Forest FC68c15.2$10 inWon+$4.864658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.