MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8252928c696cd1853c5832a2a9a5ff7ee498464a99a7ea6fe23f682159c71f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 3,356$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 1,680$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.4 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed NC Dinos | 72c | 1,677$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 74c | 1,474$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 58c | 806.07$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.38 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lotte Giants | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 728.04$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 537.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 56c | 433.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 57c | 367.84$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 315.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 77c | 243.81$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 226$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 212.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 204.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 198.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked NC Dinos | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Lotte Giants | 17c | 154.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked NC Dinos | 58c | 151$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 121.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…de2ebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 116.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 116.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 10c | 113.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed NC Dinos | 58c | 89.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed NC Dinos | 57c | 88.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Lotte Giants | 29c | 82.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NC Dinos | 46c | 46.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 46.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NC Dinos | 71c | 44.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 42.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked NC Dinos | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked NC Dinos | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 59c | 40.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 40.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NC Dinos | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed NC Dinos | 45c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed NC Dinos | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…63a7backed NC Dinos | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked NC Dinos | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos | 60c | 23.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…4de6backed NC Dinos | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…584fbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed NC Dinos | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed NC Dinos | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NC Dinos | 72c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed NC Dinos | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NC Dinos | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NC Dinos | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NC Dinos | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.