NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1c16f72387d4aa880e1fd1de0e196bc03f8582940cb4d7736efa74696567d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Golden Knights, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Golden Knights | 30c | 2,325$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.68 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ducks | 71c | 1,002$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.51 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Ducks | 70c | 850$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Golden Knights | 25c | 412.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ducks | 75c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 25c | 375.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Ducks | 75c | 358.77$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 76c | 303.72$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 22c | 299.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ducks | 72c | 285$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks | 71c | 256.84$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 71c | 255.37$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ducks | 79c | 243.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…915bbacked Golden Knights | 15c | 239.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Ducks | 70c | 214.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ducks | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Golden Knights | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Golden Knights | 29c | 195.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Ducks | 71c | 191.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Golden Knights | 21c | 190.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Golden Knights | 15c | 173.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Golden Knights | 26c | 143$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights | 28c | 141.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 69c | 107.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden Knights | 31c | 102.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Ducks | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Golden Knights | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Golden Knights | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Golden Knights | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…5cbbbacked Golden Knights | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ducks | 69c | 44.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Golden Knights | 29c | 42.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Golden Knights | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 37.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ducks | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Ducks | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Ducks | 78c | 32.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ducks | 77c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ducks | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…2eb0backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…f8b1backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…7353backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf036…59c1backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…58f6backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…e1ccbacked Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…3a9fbacked Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…b346backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…5b89backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…98d2backed Ducks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…3282backed Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…4709backed Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…5160backed Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…d93bbacked Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…4cb3backed Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…6c7cbacked Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…d7cabacked Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…a762backed Ducks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. DucksDucks won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.