TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb68…a240backed Under53c9,424$5,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,033.8250049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under53c7,374$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.473246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over46c4,350$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.963351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c2,026$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.981,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under25c1,996$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.629562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c1,993$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.381,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97244551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Over69c1,760$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under1c1,738$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.265269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over50c1,707$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.438345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over47c1,233$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4920756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c1,191$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c1,054$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.199258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under25c1,022$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4103969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over47c988.02$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.6541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Under24c883.33$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over65c673.62$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.553,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under31c669.95$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6813437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under30c607.69$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6428652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under18c564.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1341050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c541.96$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c472.01$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2662,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over63c404.24$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.41,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over67c400$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2982353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c391.3$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.311952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under5c343.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over52c339.04$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.25653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over46c333.95$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3410846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under42c324.17$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1229551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over49c301.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.937936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over69c290.57$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.412152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under39c290$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c272.58$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under17c269.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8935829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over41c230$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13659852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9460449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over73c168.22$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.421,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under34c163.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c131$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4331848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Under54c128.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4210256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c110.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.341,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under50c110.01$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.521355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over66c104.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.486550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over47c99.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.64151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under24c97.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3717456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under24c97.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.376167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under33c96.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2610438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda39…1865backed Over47c96.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c93.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over60c82.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.996154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Under31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Under32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.962045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under41c75.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88964%57 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under42c73.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.677852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c85…6950backed Under53c73.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under35c65.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.658850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over65c64.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c62.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7633745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under21c62.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.097642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Under29c51.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under23c49.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3714855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under24c47.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.346056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Under28c45.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c40.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2547753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225f…5978backed Under28c39.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c38.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3721253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over64c37.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3549851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6be…f675backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under54c33.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.283644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc97f…b5e5backed Over66c30.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.99755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945d…77aabacked Under53c29.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.732748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8436349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Over70c25.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over47c25.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.284459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…29b9backed Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.343751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over73c20.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.430859.4%183 W · 125 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…a297backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over66c19.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8214254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed Under63c19.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Over64c17.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.362857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.