MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa797e2dfcfbc063287d6bc8c78aa38806750c4f29dc0f1cde1dd91c494866c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed NC Dinos | 50c | 2,478$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 954.45$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NC Dinos | 48c | 485.49$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed NC Dinos | 46c | 483.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.26 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 52c | 481.17$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.05 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 454.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.43 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NC Dinos | 39c | 449.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 428.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Lotte Giants | 63c | 377$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 41c | 327.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed NC Dinos | 51c | 315$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 237.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 203$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 202.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 59c | 187$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NC Dinos | 33c | 183.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 69c | 177.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 177$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked NC Dinos | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed NC Dinos | 48c | 158.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 151.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked NC Dinos | 50c | 141.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked NC Dinos | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed NC Dinos | 47c | 134.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed NC Dinos | 50c | 123.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 55c | 110.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed NC Dinos | 59c | 105.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 102.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed NC Dinos | 54c | 99.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 98.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 78.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 68.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NC Dinos | 58c | 68.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 46c | 66.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 46c | 63.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 61.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed NC Dinos | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NC Dinos | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 39c | 47.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 80c | 47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 44.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed NC Dinos | 44c | 42.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 42.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Lotte Giants | 59c | 41.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 40.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NC Dinos | 41c | 40.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 35.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos | 53c | 31.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 30.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed NC Dinos | 54c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…8edbbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…8545backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…6463backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…dc23backed NC Dinos | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 23.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.