Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9adbfdbbcee40fd07357933ac84f35cbb4da3b06b48c709b4a345afc2dcdbd21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,810 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,929$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.91 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 34c | 1,249$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 886.25$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 24c | 421.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 379.63$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 145.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 37c | 135.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 33c | 109.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 16c | 94.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…89d7backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 47c | 55.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 55.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 55c | 51.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 51c | 37.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked No | 76c | 37.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 48c | 37.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 25.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.