Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0dd27947e264f9c2d992405b281300d4e3e6f9a797db660423d57bceba305ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 4,680$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.66 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,703$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 39c | 1,544$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 27c | 1,250$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.31 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 2c | 603.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 494.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 481.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 451.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 46c | 327$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 45c | 259.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 59c | 212.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…e311backed Over | 46c | 181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…0deabacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 55c | 109$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…98bdbacked Under | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 43c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 74.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…ed5bbacked Under | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…0e41backed Under | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…c66cbacked Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Over | 46c | 34.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…9717backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…5da9backed Over | 43c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…ebccbacked Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bc…b918backed Under | 58c | 29.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 43c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.