Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa556716403a8834a1873eb5d4532d7d46fd953245e2bf3acef5d33b9c24e7a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,979$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 800.15$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Under | 3c | 757.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 664.81$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.24 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 369.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 306.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 259$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 231.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 145.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 58c | 127.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 42c | 127.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 46c | 107.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 54c | 107.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 59c | 51.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 18.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 59c | 18.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.