Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434aecab8a3a252d3261f1c8488c5594474867c9fd03098f638e3cf72c2f80c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 1,220$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.8 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Over | 24c | 529.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 487.62$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 52c | 294.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Under | 79c | 283.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 63c | 261.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 242$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 78c | 122.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Over | 19c | 104.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 22c | 66.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Over | 62c | 64.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 74cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 64c | 52.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.