Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd234f08c1afbd9d8ffd8656dde527be97939c137107cb405201ffd2a0fdf07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 40c | 50,908$20,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,464.25 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 60c | 18,312$10,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,986.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 60c | 15,020$8,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,960.65 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 60c | 2,300$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,533$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.14 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 60c | 1,007$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.32 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 63c | 971.8$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 60c | 851.33$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.08 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 710.47$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.36 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 587.39$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 62c | 580.11$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 528.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 36c | 500.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 260.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 162.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 148.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…2fcdbacked Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…a9dcbacked Under | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 64c | 139.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 120.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Over | 47c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 41c | 50.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 35c | 49.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Over | 65c | 34.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 60c | 34.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 57c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…a557backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 60c | 18.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.