La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd26f384d5dd9fd3ee4edafb1b89fbebc886762eb916ae6e874cad0a76439f4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,890$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.17 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…d325backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 2,806$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.08 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 2,794$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.78 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,257$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 41c | 1,388$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.83 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.07 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 1,099$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 56c | 960.65$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.96 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 699.22$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 645.73$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.72 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 563.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 379.35$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.23 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 57c | 342$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 293$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 44c | 287.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 43c | 265.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 239.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 42c | 233.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…24c5backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 9c | 201.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 43c | 153.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 43c | 132.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 80c | 125.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 10c | 118.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 42c | 102.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 43c | 100.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…14a3backed No | 35c | 98.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 42c | 82.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 73.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 31c | 64.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4854backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 67c | 53.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 50.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 43.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 41c | 36.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 39c | 36.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 57c | 25.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 20.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…786fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.