Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019d801e4ece7ccbcb6d15b9ce8f4bf9d1d0afc337ee87993f3398eaf5d9382b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Svitolina, Bartunkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Svitolina | 70c | 2,696$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.04 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bartunkova | 30c | 2,652$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Svitolina | 70c | 718.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bartunkova | 33c | 389.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bartunkova | 31c | 373.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Svitolina | 67c | 228.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Bartunkova | 33c | 195.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Svitolina | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Svitolina | 67c | 116.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bartunkova | 34c | 113.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bartunkova | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Bartunkova | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…ce3abacked Bartunkova | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Bartunkova | 37c | 38.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Svitolina | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Svitolina | 66c | 29.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Svitolina | 67c | 21.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 74 | 74.3%55 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Nikola BartunkovaElina Svitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs BartunkovaSvitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.