TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays41c24,682$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays42c17,920$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels58c17,259$10,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,201.942,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Angels59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9847953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels59c6,339$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.2311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Tampa Bay Rays41c6,098$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Angels60c5,329$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.641,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays41c4,785$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.721346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays41c4,752$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.222,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels60c4,555$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.9592054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Los Angeles Angels59c4,537$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.661,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels59c3,200$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.626,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels59c2,299$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.542,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Los Angeles Angels60c2,225$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.9332251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays36c2,192$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.234,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels59c2,037$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.794,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels59c1,950$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays31c1,947$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.4612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels61c1,868$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.383,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels59c1,811$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.11,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7616…dd8cbacked Tampa Bay Rays41c1,667$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,346$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.518,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,344$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.8889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Los Angeles Angels60c1,150$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609262%57 W · 35 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Los Angeles Angels61c1,146$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.782240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Tampa Bay Rays41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Los Angeles Angels59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Los Angeles Angels59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels66c964.42$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.713,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Angels60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays41c853.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays3c844.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.328,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels60c782.97$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.12,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Los Angeles Angels60c766.28$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0624150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Tampa Bay Rays41c697.1$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.819346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays42c695.62$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1620138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Los Angeles Angels59c635.59$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5949158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Tampa Bay Rays42c575.8$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.845742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Angels59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9955052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked Los Angeles Angels59c492.47$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Tampa Bay Rays18c490.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3477353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Los Angeles Angels60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Tampa Bay Rays39c260.77$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.720848.6%101 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked Tampa Bay Rays41c246.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008050%40 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Tampa Bay Rays42c240.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels59c233$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.331,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Angels59c200.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.081,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels59c195.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.731,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Tampa Bay Rays39c176.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0229354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels61c168.35$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.162,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Los Angeles Angels61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeded…bfe9backed Tampa Bay Rays21c143.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Tampa Bay Rays11c136.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.885042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca96…06f6backed Tampa Bay Rays41c124$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e4…53bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays41c119$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7946854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays41c119$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7972154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Tampa Bay Rays39c117.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0136250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels59c114$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.742,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Tampa Bay Rays41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Los Angeles Angels60c92.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8429255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Tampa Bay Rays41c77.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.741560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Los Angeles Angels60c75.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0124742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Tampa Bay Rays40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda09…16debacked Tampa Bay Rays41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Los Angeles Angels59c71.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.221275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9076…e5e4backed Tampa Bay Rays41c68.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Angels59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Los Angeles Angels59c55.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6340148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Los Angeles Angels61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.555643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Tampa Bay Rays41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Los Angeles Angels60c48.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2522849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…0afabacked Tampa Bay Rays41c46.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.265757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels59c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Los Angeles Angels59c39.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1129553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels59c35.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ead…0b4dbacked Los Angeles Angels60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Los Angeles Angels60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3325448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Los Angeles Angels61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7910066%66 W · 34 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels77c30.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Tampa Bay Rays39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.778155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Tampa Bay Rays41c29.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1519147.6%91 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe1…1a78backed Tampa Bay Rays41c27.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff29…f008backed Los Angeles Angels60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011949.6%59 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe521…880ebacked Los Angeles Angels60c21.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.675867.2%39 W · 19 L+10.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Los Angeles Angels71c19.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5643954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels59c18.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.653,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Los Angeles Angels60c16.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7210759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.