MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd090ff17b798670cf358b92b0efa6c97bfa1e22fb058a6967174450e3b084c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 4,465$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 2,620$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.92 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 1,618$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,173$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,109$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 977.05$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 812.66$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 652.05$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.07 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 609$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.88 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 588.64$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 433.6$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 346.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 345.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 345.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 257.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 247.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 215.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 199.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 198.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 187.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 141.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 129.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 121.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 102.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 96.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 85.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 72.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 72.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 56.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 51.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 47.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 38.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 35.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 32.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 30.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 28.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 28.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 28.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 28.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1a78backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.