TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies61c22,982$14,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,913.652,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c20,203$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50024146.1%111 W · 130 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers36c9,390$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies65c9,101$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.8610,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Philadelphia Phillies29c8,164$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,832.7910647.2%50 W · 56 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies64c4,380$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.391,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c4,052$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.931,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Philadelphia Phillies58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9860350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c3,644$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.454,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Philadelphia Phillies63c2,960$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.1124150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers41c2,701$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies61c2,501$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.8711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c2,397$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.677460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Philadelphia Phillies63c2,234$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.012744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers36c1,489$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.062864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies31c1,309$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.223,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c1,143$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.715,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c1,133$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.861,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c999.65$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.876,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Philadelphia Phillies63c719.96$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3989053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers36c660.78$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.883,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c639.95$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c578.74$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c561.5$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1370154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies31c538$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.224,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Philadelphia Phillies63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Philadelphia Phillies63c464.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.761,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Philadelphia Phillies63c409$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.331,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c405.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15096349%472 W · 491 L-39.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c387.85$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.811,02250.6%517 W · 505 L+54.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies49c363.48$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.578,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a95…3be6backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c325.42$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017545.7%80 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621149.3%104 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.919435.6%69 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies37c259.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies65c239$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.651,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…bfe9backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Philadelphia Phillies63c198.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.416248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee6b…accbbacked Philadelphia Phillies64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.257346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies52c150.28$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.479,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c148.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9514759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30be…0355backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.456440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c126.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c119$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0346854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c119$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0372154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c104.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8411648.3%56 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers41c100.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.272,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3768942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…d5edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies43c99.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.658,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers41c93.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.164,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed Philadelphia Phillies32c82.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.814742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Los Angeles Dodgers34c81.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.864953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Philadelphia Phillies63c81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.971,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.661948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies63c78.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.261,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Philadelphia Phillies63c75.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0940148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Philadelphia Phillies67c74.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4988153.7%473 W · 408 L+40.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c62.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0766056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers36c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729e…a820backed Los Angeles Dodgers79c59.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c57.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.885,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Philadelphia Phillies57c55.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1945952.9%243 W · 216 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Philadelphia Phillies63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.557244.6%255 W · 317 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c44.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0635341.1%145 W · 208 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c43.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.311,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c42.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.491,04051.8%539 W · 501 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe17f…fd85backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c42.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Philadelphia Phillies67c40.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4269447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c31.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0941936.5%153 W · 266 L-31.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Philadelphia Phillies56c30.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2929242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.134843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c29.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.192,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f4…567dbacked Philadelphia Phillies54c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Philadelphia Phillies64c24.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8329553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Philadelphia Phillies54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.234754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Philadelphia Phillies63c18.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7843954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c17.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0199924.6%246 W · 753 L-70.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a9f…8473backed Philadelphia Phillies65c15.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.511346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…735fbacked Philadelphia Phillies64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf060…02debacked Philadelphia Phillies64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.639054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.