Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Bencic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd87486be218d62421a25180385e8f50278485d67cc065083c6226ffc83b7c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bencicof Svitolina, Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Svitolina | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bencic | 55c | 586.39$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bencic | 40c | 522.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Svitolina | 60c | 433.85$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.31 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Bencic | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bencic | 60c | 217.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Svitolina | 50c | 201.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Svitolina | 67c | 165.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bencic | 55c | 114.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bencic | 52c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…640fbacked Bencic | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Svitolina | 44c | 97.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Svitolina | 47c | 90.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Svitolina | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…5011backed Svitolina | 49c | 54.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bencic | 40c | 50.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Svitolina | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Svitolina | 60c | 47.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…7ef2backed Svitolina | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Svitolina | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Svitolina | 48c | 27.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Bencic | 65c | 25.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…0738backed Svitolina | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Bencicthis page
- Elina Svitolina vs. Belinda Bencic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda BencicElina Svitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)Bencic won
- Svitolina vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Bencic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Svitolina vs. Bencic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.