MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3023123d4ad2c08cfd8236c44980bfe12903196bfa3b8b11813c5988e01a11a3

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Detroit Tigersof Tampa Bay Rays, Detroit Tigers
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $97,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $99,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,641 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays	41c	25,000$10,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,250	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers	60c	23,127$13,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,299.05	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	14,290$5,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,742.55	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3aee…5808backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	11,083$4,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,493.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	10,144$4,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,065.87	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.5	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers	79c	9,194$7,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,930.73	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers	59c	5,746$3,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,355.88	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers	59c	5,643$3,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,313.49	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers	59c	5,153$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,112.76	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers	60c	4,026$2,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,610.4	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers	60c	3,950$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.5	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers	59c	3,239$1,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.68	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers	59c	2,917$1,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,186.39	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers	60c	2,700$1,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,084.19	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	2,488$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	2,368$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.76	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Detroit Tigers	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Detroit Tigers	60c	2,000$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.2	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers	60c	1,973$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.6	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	1,536$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.36	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	41c	1,524$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.76	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	1,263$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.09	206	48.1%99 W · 107 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	1,222$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	165	43%71 W · 94 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers	59c	1,146$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.06	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers	60c	1,000$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.43	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Detroit Tigers	59c	760.67$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.87	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers	69c	739.72$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.31	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Detroit Tigers	60c	731.6$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.64	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Detroit Tigers	60c	615.5$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.2	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	547.27$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.38	364	40.1%146 W · 218 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Detroit Tigers	60c	520.6$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.17	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Detroit Tigers	60c	502.5$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.13	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	193	35.8%69 W · 124 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Detroit Tigers	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers	60c	400.5$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.77	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…bfe9backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	390.24$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers	60c	344$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.11	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers	65c	328.49$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.14	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	5c	258.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.79	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+33%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers	71c	239.99$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.39	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	14c	183$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	168.29$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	97	51.5%50 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	137.5$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	124$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers	59c	114$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.74	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	19c	99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	87.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	435	60%261 W · 174 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	85.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	267	47.9%128 W · 139 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Detroit Tigers	61c	80.75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.69	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Detroit Tigers	60c	75.94$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.23	401	48.1%193 W · 208 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Detroit Tigers	60c	64.18$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	295	53.2%157 W · 138 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers	60c	60$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers	67c	55$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aafbacked Tampa Bay Rays	41c	47.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Detroit Tigers	59c	41.91$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.05	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers	60c	39.93$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	34.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbae…88fcbacked Detroit Tigers	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Detroit Tigers	59c	27.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.13	509	54%275 W · 234 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	26.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	25.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Detroit Tigers	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	131	55.7%73 W · 58 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Detroit Tigers	61c	23.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Detroit Tigers	59c	22.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.15	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Detroit Tigers	60c	18.85$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	247	42.9%106 W · 141 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Detroit Tigers	60c	16.8$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Detroit Tigers	79c	15.95$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.35	260	63.8%166 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysDetroit Tigers won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event