MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0142fd332a383dbfa8af262420998c256f19d55280a761ae855469a1cb350290

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,285 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8b88…8f33backed Over	56c	20,969$11,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,244.28	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	44c	9,990$4,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,366.04	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	44c	3,041$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324.98	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	44c	2,468$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.98	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	44c	2,371$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.24	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Over	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.71	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under	44c	1,660$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.2	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0f…b9d0backed Under	8c	1,187$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.36	104	39.4%41 W · 63 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	54c	1,166$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	44c	1,152$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.33	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	45c	1,000$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over	56c	983.41$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.36	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	45c	863.56$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.6	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	56c	851.88$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.98	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	57c	833.3$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.13	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Over	56c	803.57$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.57	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	56c	774.91$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.98	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	20c	523.46$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.7	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	32c	408.13$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.54	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	44c	302.05$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.9	411	41.4%170 W · 241 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	45c	225.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.47	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over	56c	216.41$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.22	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	43c	213.21$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.68	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Over	57c	200$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	55c	190.91$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.91	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	67c	180$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Over	55c	178.18$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.18	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	45c	149$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.67	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	44c	140.4$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.07	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under	43c	136.86$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.85	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	56c	120$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.4	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	66c	109.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over	57c	105.69$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.54	164	50.6%83 W · 81 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	57c	102$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.86	424	55.4%235 W · 189 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	592	52.7%312 W · 280 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	999	47.5%475 W · 524 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	785	50.2%394 W · 391 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	130	53.1%69 W · 61 L	-11.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over	56c	95.23$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.9	145	55.9%81 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	33c	91.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	62c	87.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.44	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Under	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under	18c	63.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	880	46.4%408 W · 472 L	-22.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	35c	61.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	43c	58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	258	50.4%130 W · 128 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fff…5495backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	37	75.7%28 W · 9 L	+7.3wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	43c	51.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	30c	50.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd748…de35backed Under	44c	45.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+42%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	43c	44.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over	55c	44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under	24c	41.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Over	73c	41.09$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over	56c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	241	52.7%127 W · 114 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fde…c007backed Over	62c	35.26$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.29per pick	56cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3255…ffb9backed Over	57c	35.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.02	181	53.6%97 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under	42c	34.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	140	57.9%81 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under	44c	33.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	401	48.1%193 W · 208 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	67c	28$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	309	60.2%186 W · 123 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	217	51.6%112 W · 105 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb6…64d2backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	55c	23.83$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	45c	23.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	247	42.9%106 W · 141 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	45c	22.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	57c	20.28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.72	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b9…01bdbacked Over	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	509	62.9%320 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over	73c	18.75$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.07	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	74c	16.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Over	80c	13.38$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.68	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysDetroit Tigers won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event