TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3535…a775backed Over48c101,585$48,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,725.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,999.9955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c31,654$15,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,197.824,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c24,876$12,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,208.362,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over46c10,861$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under53c9,900$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.928943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under54c7,777$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,577.4247953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under52c7,476$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.943,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35044851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c4,346$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.461,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c3,953$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.611,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Over47c3,632$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.073234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c3,572$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.9510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c3,400$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59795850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c3,382$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.648,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c3,334$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.9411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c2,838$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.786,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over46c2,655$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.322,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over76c2,287$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.091,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under53c2,060$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96389053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98024150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c1,663$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.874,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c1,331$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over49c1,108$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.543,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under53c898.06$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.092,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c878.04$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.475,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c729$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.921,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over49c715$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3527249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under51c644.97$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0425249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c625$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.821,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27667250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Over58c508.18$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.759851%50 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over47c502.5$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.131,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c477.17$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.579,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over48c453.05$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.161,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c427.05$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c420$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.241051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under54c405$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over69c278$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.18,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over33c259.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.163,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over35c240.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6323140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c237$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.391,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over47c209.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under52c206.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.367851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Over49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9620848.6%101 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966360.3%38 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under58c197.34$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.022,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.641,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8237256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under37c166.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.062,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under52c150.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.631,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over56c135.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5688046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c133.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.282,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c125.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5899447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c113.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.826,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over59c106.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.45,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over47c105.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.442857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4754146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over47c93.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8314555.9%81 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f11…410bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over54c92.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011648.3%56 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c89.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over49c81.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under50c79.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4740148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under53c69.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5224350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under54c64.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.843560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over56c62.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1750748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over46c61.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4116848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c60.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under53c54.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under52c47.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9329553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over78c45.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.667569.3%52 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Over30c43.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1817752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025748.2%124 W · 133 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Over48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6819152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over47c40.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8472655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under63c39.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Over78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under53c37.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6255643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.748733.3%29 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8525850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over53c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under44c31.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Over42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.645743.9%25 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over62c25.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0970154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.