TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,648 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays26c6,234$1,635 inLost-$1,634.8112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers75c3,454$2,583 inWon+$870.862,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers76c2,118$1,601 inWon+$516.381,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers60c1,958$1,172 inWon+$786.5311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays25c1,955$484 inLost-$483.618,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers76c1,894$1,430 inWon+$463.251,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays24c836.17$200 inLost-$200.148,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Tampa Bay Rays25c792.69$200 inLost-$2005448.1%26 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays24c699.77$171 inLost-$170.864,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers74c543.32$400 inWon+$143.322,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers64c412.03$262 inWon+$149.86,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x735a…df6dbacked Tampa Bay Rays29c224.99$65 inLost-$65.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers59c105.75$63 inWon+$42.863,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays24c94.19$22 inLost-$22.185,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers26c93.7$24 inWon+$69.345,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Detroit Tigers74c84.31$62 inWon+$22.071,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Tampa Bay Rays23c67.12$16 inLost-$15.561,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers73c65.51$48 inWon+$17.762,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays77c51.95$40 inLost-$4013672.1%98 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers62c29$18 inWon+$10.881,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers63c25.76$16 inWon+$9.532,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Detroit Tigers66c22.92$15 inWon+$7.8466056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Detroit Tigers69c20.99$15 inWon+$6.431,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Detroit Tigers68c18.54$13 inWon+$5.891,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.