Premier League · resolved market
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcca38cf82141cbfec49979b4f5db12e44c172f49df1207d5c9d466e9488cf03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 50c | 4,220$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.08 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 50c | 1,958$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 45c | 839.73$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.85 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes | 55c | 802.55$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 46c | 601.27$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 53c | 294.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 57c | 170.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed No | 60c | 166.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 57c | 139.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed No | 60c | 133.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 52c | 116.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…22ebbacked No | 60c | 93.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…6fe4backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 48c | 62.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 53c | 61.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…8f43backed Yes | 57c | 52.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…20d4backed No | 59c | 50.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 49c | 45.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Yes | 24c | 44.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 52c | 41.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked No | 49c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed No | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 50c | 32.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked No | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…5f2ebacked No | 75c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Declan Rice: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Eberechi Eze: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gabriel Magalhaes: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kai Havertz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Leandro Trossard: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.