Premier League · resolved market
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4fccd0f1816b9ea8f41a046649e4a8a49dfccb07e0b691655e7757aab1faf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x661c…030bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,647$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed No | 60c | 249.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 45c | 223.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…4e6abacked Yes | 46c | 174.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 38c | 170.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 46c | 107.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 47c | 105.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 53c | 97.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 53c | 84.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 55c | 67.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 44c | 50.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 56c | 29.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Declan Rice: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Eberechi Eze: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gabriel Magalhaes: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kai Havertz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Leandro Trossard: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.