MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0464b99af3d553b6ccfbe0ea18acfee83efbd7b4401826519d17856ab2809b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof LG Twins, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 10c | 2,591$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 17c | 938.88$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 427.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LG Twins | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed LG Twins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 19c | 352.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed LG Twins | 16c | 299.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 275$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed LG Twins | 55c | 248.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed LG Twins | 55c | 232.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 225.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked LG Twins | 43c | 204.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed LG Twins | 52c | 192.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed LG Twins | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked LG Twins | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 24c | 165.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked LG Twins | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 22c | 127.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed LG Twins | 55c | 96.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 95.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed LG Twins | 22c | 91.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 18c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 55c | 83.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 60c | 77.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed LG Twins | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LG Twins | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 53c | 38.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed LG Twins | 55c | 26.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 53c | 25.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.