MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x986a464dff912add2f9cd2cc2e763451efa77420f5b3fa9bea7253d66a3c66d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 7,685$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,172$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,895$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.1 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,786$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.56 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,167$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,153$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.39 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 856.43$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.78 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 821.85$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 708.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.1 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 655.16$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.95 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 511.87$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.46 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 440.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 399.94$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.64 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 351.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 319.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 299$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 288.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 259.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 243.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 236.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 212.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 211.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 140.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 104.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 80.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 66.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 62.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…16debacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 27.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 24.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 24.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…a98cbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…e037backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…b078backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb258…0d2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-5.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-6.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.