MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1627e5a4798ffe58d54ccfab1aa651469ebbd8dbce379d15e3e891a026fcb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 48c | 19,200$9,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,215.99 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 7,361$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.43 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…4e19backed Over | 52c | 6,347$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 6,154$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.85 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Under | 50c | 2,208$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 1,889$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.71 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 50c | 1,417$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.68 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,059$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.06 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 48c | 950$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.45 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Under | 23c | 936.63$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 51c | 778.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.28 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 649.96$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 615.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Over | 75c | 331$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 308$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 49c | 219.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 48c | 207.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 205.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 189.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 52c | 121.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…5ddabacked Under | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…2f18backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 103.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 14c | 90.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 52c | 80.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 52c | 76.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 49c | 74.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 54.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 52.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 48c | 51.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…96ecbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 58c | 43.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…d6debacked Over | 54c | 40.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 53c | 31.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 31.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…b6bebacked Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…69b2backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 52c | 28.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Over | 52c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Under | 47c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-5.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-6.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.