MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d1561d5996b201717ab42cc23999a2e4034467a1cfdfd258b66c2de9f4dcbef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 2,907$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.97 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 15c | 1,809$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.73 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 12c | 1,588$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed LG Twins | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked LG Twins | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 10c | 698.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed LG Twins | 56c | 598.23$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 13c | 408.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 56c | 335.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 302.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 292.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 56c | 287$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed LG Twins | 59c | 277.74$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lotte Giants | 14c | 269.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 243.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 241$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lotte Giants | 19c | 217.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Lotte Giants | 17c | 210.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LG Twins | 61c | 189.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lotte Giants | 11c | 189.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 11c | 159.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed LG Twins | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lotte Giants | 20c | 140.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 134.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 67c | 103.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 98.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed LG Twins | 49c | 77.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed LG Twins | 54c | 74.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 73.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed LG Twins | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Lotte Giants | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked LG Twins | 60c | 56.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 53.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed LG Twins | 56c | 51.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LG Twins | 56c | 50.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…2b0bbacked LG Twins | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 56c | 44.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed LG Twins | 57c | 33.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…0c1bbacked LG Twins | 57c | 29.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…1703backed LG Twins | 56c | 29.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 27.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 72c | 26.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked LG Twins | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 25.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked LG Twins | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked LG Twins | 56c | 20.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed LG Twins | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.