Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e9173163a3344c107d4850134e4ae96f657dfbe1b965a5ffcbf2fd0fef65b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 3,898$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.23 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,277$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,547$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.85 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,476$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 1,473$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.15 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,350$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.81 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,320$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.06 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 62c | 1,315$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.3 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 767.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 34c | 705.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 63c | 685$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.83 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 71c | 675.68$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.52 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 53c | 647.93$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 594.41$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.33 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.56 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 362.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 316.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 34c | 292.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.69 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 251.96$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 53c | 232.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed No | 72c | 227.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 174$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 35c | 167.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 68c | 147.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 53c | 120.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 24c | 101.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed No | 59c | 97.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 76c | 93.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 87.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 86.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 80.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 65.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 63.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Yes | 43c | 60.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 59c | 59.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 67c | 59.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 49.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 66c | 48.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 57c | 47.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes | 67c | 40.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 74c | 31.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Yes | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Yes | 65c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 46c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 73c | 24.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 48c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Yes | 53c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.