Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e645fc8091bce32a93fce7b611fe19fdff142568b40106f3df5fe11d262ba05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 5,078$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.57 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 10c | 2,657$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 76c | 2,633$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.75 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,017$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,006$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.69 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 1,976$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.43 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 1,975$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.19 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 56c | 1,647$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 1,091$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 79c | 1,006$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 8c | 999.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -70%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Yes | 61c | 791.16$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 24c | 375.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Yes | 12c | 360$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 56c | 357.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 57c | 342.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked No | 76c | 342.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 58c | 259.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 256$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 252$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 72c | 174.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 160.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 22c | 114.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 107.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 107.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 45c | 104.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 22c | 102.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 98.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 98.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 67c | 89.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 74.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…00e3backed Yes | 26c | 67.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 24c | 60.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 22c | 56.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 20c | 54.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 46.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 42c | 41.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 41.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked No | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 73c | 40.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…3a58backed No | 74c | 39.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 39.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…cfb1backed No | 75c | 28.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 76c | 28.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 75c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 63c | 16.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.