TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c2,291$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.575,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under20c2,022$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0112434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under15c1,875$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6116051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under20c1,562$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.810635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under52c1,244$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3329037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under5c1,239$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.836624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under15c1,136$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.455954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over74c999.96$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0911354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over59c928.85$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4119155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over71c921.86$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.483,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under26c843.86$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4317440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under35c835.52$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9735246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under20c804.86$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.846230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6956…029abacked Over80c774.26$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under15c702.05$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under52c662.58$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.833756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under51c483.8$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under15c470.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.816524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c401.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.318,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over48c341$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.082982.8%24 W · 5 L+11.1wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+93.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under37c336.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under20c304.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.88444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under38c284$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.079149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Under22c283.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over75c247.25$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.256162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Over41c236.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.51633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under63c235.68$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.252,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under21c233.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under22c225$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over55c220.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Under6c214.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Under28c214.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under39c202$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7820055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under43c174.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over37c170.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.494456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over78c166.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.731,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over47c155.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6126835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Under20c149.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.632095%19 W · 1 L+7.3wins+0.36per pick59cpaid+67.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Under15c134.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.142416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over38c125.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.087463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Under17c116.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over34c110.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.271,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over78c106.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5229245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over66c106.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under15c106.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under67c104.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Under14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under59c92.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.442,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Under16c92.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under38c86.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6715041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdf…2d41backed Over40c74.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa822…9459backed Over40c73.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c73.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8533658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Under16c72.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over58c66.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4314753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Under44c56.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9915625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under30c55.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7615143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over76c54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.968554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over35c53.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.741,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Under49c47.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.312552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under61c41.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9620…674cbacked Over76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over38c39.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.466053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over78c34.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.376142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.519742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2254…92eebacked Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over63c25.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.550656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Over62c25.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.676955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Over77c25.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.836065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over70c24.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.364475%33 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over62c24.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Over76c21.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8452…a766backed Over76c20.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.26744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x743f…420cbacked Over79c14.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.