South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe059018932ea4cfbef4c3b174a8d89c6a539d6bd1ad08f36777711b95b20f368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 44c | 2,277$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.07 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,434$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.27 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 48c | 1,200$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.57 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed No | 45c | 1,133$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 43c | 864$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.48 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 55c | 656$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 53c | 656$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.32 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 392.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 58c | 377$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 56c | 373.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Yes | 52c | 364.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 67c | 269.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 245.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 232.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 48c | 208.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 52c | 182$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 168.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 54c | 131$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 52c | 124$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bd…f180backed Yes | 54c | 107.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0721…bbedbacked Yes | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 71.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee5…fba1backed Yes | 52c | 56.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 57c | 46.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 44.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Yes | 52c | 24.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 23.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Yes | 53c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.