South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49e1a7a71b2510208e5312a1f79695847f22effe6f11e8425767f1cb608a5393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santos FCof Santos FC, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Santos FC | 62c | 12,977$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Santos FC | 29c | 3,016$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.2 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 41c | 2,845$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.62 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 65c | 2,345$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Santos FC | 50c | 2,213$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.13 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 54c | 1,911$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 36c | 1,814$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.48 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 38c | 1,747$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.91 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Santos FC | 63c | 1,713$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.63 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 44c | 1,532$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.81 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 40c | 1,332$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.42 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 44c | 1,315$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.72 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 44c | 1,315$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.72 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 43c | 1,191$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC | 44c | 1,114$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 26c | 854.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 44c | 751.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.85 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 37c | 652.55$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Santos FC | 55c | 637.59$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 38c | 414.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 50c | 349$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 51c | 348.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Santos FC | 56c | 290.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Santos FC | 40c | 249.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 27c | 248.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Santos FC | 67c | 218.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Santos FC | 46c | 216$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 50c | 199.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Santos FC | 23c | 179.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 40c | 171.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 74c | 166.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Santos FC | 28c | 160$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 40c | 142.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed Santos FC | 53c | 142.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Santos FC | 60c | 118.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 71c | 114.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Santos FC | 51c | 110.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe2…f67bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 62c | 100.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 36c | 100.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 47c | 91.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Santos FC | 48c | 88.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 57c | 86.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 74c | 83.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 40c | 76.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 50c | 71.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Santos FC | 65c | 70.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 40c | 59.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Santos FC | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 44c | 45.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Santos FC | 42c | 42.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 48c | 41.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 40c | 36.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 73c | 27.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 67c | 23.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 73c | 23.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Santos FC | 75c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Santos FC | 51c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Santos FC | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…f116backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 56c | 20.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Santos FC | 62c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)this page
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.