South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2cb2e5627f96661b0522d63d1eab2c910faebe511f71db5ecda22ea4580f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 63c | 8,034$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.55 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 4,673$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Under | 46c | 3,411$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.45 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 66c | 3,035$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.31 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 38c | 2,005$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.41 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 4c | 1,997$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 40c | 1,543$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 40c | 1,021$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.24 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 55c | 858.18$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 53c | 728$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 38c | 728$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.36 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 4c | 725.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 6c | 535.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 73c | 507.96$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 74c | 436.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 49c | 419.91$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 45c | 334.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 18c | 303.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 45c | 256.39$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 203.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 37c | 181.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 69c | 159.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 53c | 117.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 53c | 101.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 11c | 92.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 74c | 80.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 72.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…6c56backed Under | 43c | 46.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 28c | 37.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 52c | 26.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 51c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 68c | 23.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.